Coffee opens with market focused on weather and harvest

Arabica and Robusta futures contracts start the day lower on international exchanges.

The coffee futures market opened trading this Tuesday (23) with mixed movements across international exchanges. While Arabica contracts rose on the New York exchange (ICE Futures US), Robusta contracts posted losses in London.

Among Arabica contracts, the July 2026 delivery traded at 600.50 cents/lb, up 30 points. The September 2026 contract rose 240 points to 610.00 cents/lb, while the December 2026 contract advanced 260 points to 626.75 cents/lb.

In the Robusta market, traded on ICE Europe, the July 2026 contract fell US$ 30 to US$ 3,559 per tonne. The September 2026 contract lost US$ 35, trading at US$ 3,507 per tonne, while the November 2026 contract dropped US$ 36 to US$ 3,455 per tonne.

Traders remain focused on the decline in ICE certified Arabica coffee stocks, which remain at historically low levels compared to volumes recorded a year ago. This scenario continues to support prices and reinforce concerns regarding the global availability of the variety.

In Brazil, the harvest is progressing in key producing regions, but the pace of commercialization remains limited. According to an analysis by Escritório Carvalhaes, producers holding coffee from the 2025/26 crop continue to show caution regarding sales, keeping trading volumes below what is normally observed at this time of year.

The weather also remains on the radar. According to Climatempo, a cold front is expected to move across the country's South and Southeast regions this week, bringing rain to key coffee-growing areas in São Paulo, southern Minas Gerais, and the Triângulo Mineiro. In some locations, rainfall totals could exceed 50 millimeters—conditions that may temporarily halt harvesting and bean-drying operations.

In addition to the rain, a cold air mass is expected to cause temperatures to drop across south-central Brazil during the second half of the week. Despite the forecast cooling, weather models do not currently indicate a risk of frost in the main coffee-producing regions.

By: Priscila Alves | Instagram: @priscilaalvestv

Source: Notícias Agrícolas