Coffee: Daily decline in stocks supports prices, which close higher this Thursday (16).

Coffee prices closed Thursday’s (16) session with gains on international exchanges, supported by another day of falling certified ICE inventories. According to Barchart, arabica stocks fell to a 1.5-year low of 493,783 bags, while robusta inventories dropped to a 2.75-month low of 6,177 lots.

On Wednesday (15), the announcement of a possible meeting between Brazilian and U.S. authorities stirred the New York exchange, which reacted with declines in the nearby futures contracts. Brazil continues negotiations seeking exemption from the export tax on Brazilian coffee to the U.S.

A report from Escritório Carvalhaes points out that climatic uncertainties affecting production in Brazil and other producing countries, low global inventories, the sharp drop in Brazil’s coffee shipments expected for 2025, and political tensions between the world’s major economies continue to generate insecurity among market operators, growers, and industry players.

In New York, arabica closed down 110 points at 393.80 cents/lb for December 2025, up 10 points at 373.40 cents/lb for March 2026, and up 25 points at 359.25 cents/lb for May 2026.

Robusta registered a gain of US$72, closing at US$4,614/ton for November 2025 contracts, an advance of US$71 quoted at US$4,524/ton for January 2026, and a rise of US$68 closing at US$4,447/ton for March 2026.

Domestic Market

In Brazil’s physical market, Arabica Type 6 ended the session down 4.17% in Araguari/MG at R$2,300.00 per bag, up 0.88% in Campos Gerais/MG at R$2,300.00 per bag, and up 1.33% in Guaxupé/MG at R$2,281.00 per bag. Meanwhile, Peeled Cherry (Cereja Descascado) coffee closed up 1.24% in Varginha/MG at R$2,450.00 per bag and rose 0.85% in Campos Gerais/MG at R$2,360.00 per bag.

By: Raphaela Ribeiro

Source: Notícias Agrícolas